Skip to main content
Log in

Predicting tourism flows under climate change

An editorial comment on Gössling and Hall (2006)

  • Editorial
  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

References

  • Amelung B, Nicholls S, Viner D (2006) Implications of global climate change for tourism flows and seasonality. J Travel Res (forthcoming)

  • Berritella M, Bigano A, Roson R, Tol RSJ (2006) A general equilibrium analysis of climate change impacts on tourism. Tour Manage 27(5):913–924

    Google Scholar 

  • Bigano A, Goria A, Hamilton JM, Tol RSJ (2005) The effect of climate change and extreme weather on tourism. In: Lanza A, Markandya A, Pigliauru F (eds) The economics of tourism and sustainable development. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham

  • Bigano A, Hamilton JM, Tol RSJ (2005) The impact of climate change on domestic and international tourism: a simulation study. Research Unit Sustainability and Global Change Working Paper FNU-58. Hamburg University and Centre for Marine and Atmospheric Science, Hamburg

  • Coshall J (2005) Interventions on UK earnings and expenditures overseas. Ann Tour Res 32(3):592–609

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • de Freitas CR (2003) Tourism climatology: evaluating environmental information for decision making and business planning in the recreation and tourism sector. Int J Biometeorol 48:45–54

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gössling S, Bredberg M, Randow A, Svensson P, Swedlin E (2006) Tourist perceptions of climate change. Curr Issues Tour 9(4–5):419–435

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gössling S, Hall CM (2006) Uncertainties in predicting tourist flows under scenarios of climate change. Clim Change, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9081-y, this issue

  • Hamilton JM (2003) Climate and the destination choice of German tourists. Research Unit Sustainability and Global Change Working Paper FNU-15 (revised). Hamburg: Hamburg University and Centre for Marine and Climate Research

  • Hamilton JM, Lau MA (2005) The role of climate information in tourist destination choice decision-making. In: Gössling S, Hall CM (eds) Tourism and global environmental change. London, Routledge

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton JM, Maddison DJ, Tol RSJ (2005a) Climate change and international tourism: a simulation study. Glob Environ Change 15(3):253–66

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton JM, Maddison DJ, Tol RSJ (2005b) The effects of climate change on international tourism. Clim Res 29:255–68

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton JM, Tol RSJ (2006) The impact of climate change on tourism and recreation. In: Schlesinger M (ed) Human-induced climate change – an interdisciplinary assessment. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press (forthcoming)

  • Lim C (1997) Review of international tourism demand models. Ann Tour Res 24(4):835–849

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lise W, Tol RSJ (2002) Impact of climate on tourism demand. Clim Change 55(4):429–49

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maddison DJ (2001) In search of warmer climates? The impact of climate change on flows of British tourists. Clim Change 49:193–208

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mansfeld Y, Freundlich A, Kutiel H (2003) The relationship between weather conditions and tourists’ perception of comfort: the case of the winter sun resort of Eilat. Paper presented during the NATO advanced research on climate change and tourism: assessment and coping strategies, 6–8 November 2003. Warsaw, Poland

  • Root TL, Schneider SH (1995) Ecology and climate – research strategies and implications. Science 269(5222):334–41

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Scott D, McBoyle G, Schwartzentruber N (2004) Climate change and the distribution of climatic resources for tourism in North America. Clim Res 27:105–17

    Google Scholar 

  • Scott D, Wall G, McBoyle G (2005) The evolution of the climate change issue in the tourism sector. In: Hall CM, Higham J (eds) Tourism, recreation and climate change. Channel View Publications, Clevedon, pp 44–60

    Google Scholar 

  • Song H, Witt SF (2006) Forecasting international tourist flows to Macau. Tour Manage 27:214–224

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Witt SF, Witt CA, (1995) Forcasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research. Int J Forecast 11, 447–475

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • WTO (2000) Basic References on Tourism Statistics’ Online document retrieved from http://world-tourism.org/statistics/basic_references/index-en.htm

  • WTO (2001) Tourism 2020 vision – Europe. WTO, Madrid

    Google Scholar 

  • WTO (2003) Yearbook of tourism statistics. World Tourism Organisation, Madrid

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Richard S. J. Tol.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Bigano, A., Hamilton, J.M., Maddison, D.J. et al. Predicting tourism flows under climate change. Climatic Change 79, 175–180 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9190-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9190-7

Navigation